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~Upcoming El Niño May Be As Wild As 1997 Event~

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Offline Heathcliff

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on: October 14, 2015, 11:29:57 PM




El Niño is expected to be more beast than "little boy" this year — a forecast about the weather pattern that becomes clear in newly released maps of the waters around the equatorial Pacific Ocean.

The two maps show the sea-surface heights in the Pacific in October 1997 and 2015, revealing that conditions this year are looking a lot like they did during the strong El Niño event of 1997 to 1998. Water expands as temperatures rise, and so sea-surface height is an indicator of warming in the upper layer of the ocean.

"Whether El Niño gets slightly stronger or a little weaker is not statistically significant now. This baby is too big to fail," Bill Patzert, a climatologist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California, told NASA's Earth Observatory.

During an El Niño — which translates as "The Little Boy" in Spanish — an ocean-atmosphere interaction leads to the warming of surface waters in the central and east-central Pacific around the equator. The cyclical phenomenon can affect wind and rainfall patterns worldwide. [How El Niño Causes Wild Weather All Over the Globe (Infographic)]

"Over North America, this winter will definitely not be normal. However, the climatic events of the past decade make 'normal' difficult to define," Patzert told the Earth Observatory.

Measurements of sea-surface heights in the newly released maps came from altimeters onboard the TOPEX/Poseidon satellite (1997) and the Jason-2 satellite (2015). The warmest waters, which are represented by sea-surface heights above normal sea level, can be seen (in red) moving into the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, while the colder-than-normal — or below-normal sea-surface heights — show up in blue in the western tropical Pacific Ocean.

Experts with the Climate Prediction Center, part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, forecast last month that this year's El Niño could be among the strongest on record, dating back to 1950. In August, sea-surface temperatures in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean were near or greater than 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit (2 degrees Celsius) above the 1981 to 2010 average, according to the Climate Prediction Center.

The climate pattern is linked with snowy winters in the Northwestern United States and wet winters in the Southwest; drought in Southeast Asia and Australia typically accompany El Niño.

~credits to NASA Space Center News







~  Amor Gignit Amorem. ~


Offline naruto789544

Reply #1 on: October 15, 2015, 12:04:50 AM
thanks for the info mam @Schy.... this is already affecting our agricultural products in the north and south... expect more water pressure drop from the water companies until mid next year when the rains will come again...


Offline Heathcliff

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Reply #2 on: October 15, 2015, 07:44:54 AM


Absolutely right Sir, unfortunately the vast majority of our population is neglecting the grave effects of this impending disaster. Greenland's glacier's meltdown has been monitored for the last 50 years but still people are not giving much importance on how we could slow down the effects of Global Warming. Reports said that by 2100...water level will rise up to 1 metres or more...and that means, probably half of the major continents will be submerged in seawater.

. . . . and believe me, i am imagining that i'd be doin what Kevin Costner did in his movie. Hahaha! much exciting naman yun, kesa yung 2012 movie. nah, i believe, that this planet wants everyone to be able to survive...given time, which we all have the luxury to possess, social awareness , dedication and technology...may magagawa pa tayong solusyon. At least...pabagalin,kahit konti...bigyan ng time the other coming generation...to enoy this planet...while it last.

thanks for dropping by Sir Naruto... :book1: :book1: :book1: :book1:






~  Amor Gignit Amorem. ~


Offline razorsharp

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Reply #3 on: October 15, 2015, 07:54:28 AM
in short the philippines would be drier than normal this el nino and california is supposed to get a lot wetter. well waiting pa rin kami, california has been in a drought for the past 4 years na.

as of now everyday is still: hot, humid, hot, humid, hot, humid....
« Last Edit: October 15, 2015, 07:56:23 AM by razorsharp »


M.I.L.K. is an epic photographic celebration of what it is to be part of a family, share the gift of friendship and more than anything else, to be loved. Inspired by the 1950s landmark photographic exhibition "The Family of Man", M.I.L.K. began as a worldwide search to develop a collection of extraordinary and geographically diverse images portraying humanity’s "Moments of Intimacy, Laughter and Kinship" (M.I.L.K.). This search took the form of a global photographic competition in 1999.


Offline Heathcliff

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Reply #4 on: October 15, 2015, 08:12:09 AM


yep Sir Razor, napakainit nyan. grabeng drought. But meron reverse effect yan.

...sa europe in the last five years, kasagsagan ng summer...umuulan. Minsan umulan ng yelo...nde sya yelo na buo buo...it was snowflakes! in August,when summer is at it's peak. Imagine that...maraming ng pinapakitang abormality ang planeta natin...masama lang we tend to ignore these signs.

dumadami na din ang delubyo na rumaragasa ngayon. Disastrous and more frequent than usual..all because of global warming...sa venice every year tumataas ang tubig...and some parts of our continents are already submegred in water...,meron whole island sa papua new guinea..lubog na. And I believe dito sa Asia ganyan na din ang nangyayari. C:-) C:-) C:-)







« Last Edit: October 15, 2015, 01:35:47 PM by Schy »

~  Amor Gignit Amorem. ~


Offline razorsharp

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Reply #5 on: October 15, 2015, 01:49:36 PM
o ernie baron we miss you huhuhu.  :'( tignan nyo kung anong nangyayari sa mundo nung nawala kaaaah......


M.I.L.K. is an epic photographic celebration of what it is to be part of a family, share the gift of friendship and more than anything else, to be loved. Inspired by the 1950s landmark photographic exhibition "The Family of Man", M.I.L.K. began as a worldwide search to develop a collection of extraordinary and geographically diverse images portraying humanity’s "Moments of Intimacy, Laughter and Kinship" (M.I.L.K.). This search took the form of a global photographic competition in 1999.


 


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